Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.058615 0.068506 0.079525 0.092708 0.108048 0.125338 0.146305
2025-09-28 0.041715 0.054147 0.069472 0.089743 0.115848 0.148341 0.191883
2025-10-05 0.033767 0.047498 0.065787 0.091905 0.128242 0.177019 0.247532
2025-10-12 0.028040 0.042141 0.062159 0.092606 0.137737 0.202185 0.301319
2025-10-19 0.023795 0.037870 0.058982 0.092891 0.145978 0.225938 0.355683
2025-10-26 0.020820 0.034874 0.057014 0.094344 0.155698 0.252593 0.417462
2025-11-02 0.018741 0.032887 0.056190 0.097254 0.167793 0.284084 0.490656
2025-11-09 0.015968 0.029266 0.052106 0.094043 0.169112 0.297918 0.536072
2025-11-16 0.014145 0.026998 0.049947 0.093731 0.175166 0.320184 0.598475
2025-11-23 0.012531 0.024852 0.047671 0.092812 0.179857 0.340388 0.659429
2025-11-30 0.011502 0.023652 0.046943 0.094618 0.189727 0.371001 0.743331
2025-12-07 0.010294 0.021915 0.044944 0.093650 0.194036 0.391498 0.810073
2025-12-14 0.009072 0.019997 0.042379 0.091290 0.195438 0.406860 0.869370
2025-12-21 0.007962 0.018155 0.039725 0.088391 0.195360 0.419270 0.924343
2025-12-28 0.007426 0.017490 0.039451 0.090525 0.206223 0.455553 1.034556
2026-01-04 0.006835 0.016609 0.038584 0.091217 0.213977 0.486082 1.136001
2026-01-11 0.006280 0.015730 0.037602 0.091498 0.220808 0.515342 1.238229
2026-01-18 0.005860 0.015115 0.037140 0.092929 0.230474 0.552097 1.362418
2026-01-25 0.005566 0.014770 0.037271 0.095795 0.243929 0.599183 1.517117
2026-02-01 0.004961 0.013541 0.035088 0.092632 0.242145 0.609844 1.584095
2026-02-08 0.004571 0.012821 0.034082 0.092325 0.247513 0.638520 1.699847
2026-02-15 0.004191 0.012073 0.032908 0.091419 0.251207 0.663434 1.809052
2026-02-22 0.003968 0.011728 0.032744 0.093199 0.262245 0.708380 1.976642